NZ House Prices Are Flat – What Does That Mean for Investors?

By: Scott Mears - Aspire PRO Enterprises

If you’ve been watching the housing market, you’ve probably noticed – things aren’t exactly booming.

According to the latest QV House Price Index, national residential property values crept up by just 0.5% over the summer, bringing the average home value to $912,904. That’s 1.4% lower than last year and still 14.1% below the 2021 peak.

Not exactly a seller’s market, right? But if you’re an investor or looking to get into STRs (short-term rentals), this could be your window of opportunity.

Why is the market so flat?

📉 Affordability squeeze – Even with interest rates easing, buyers are still being cautious.
🏡 Too many houses, not enough buyers – A high level of stock on the market means less urgency to buy.
🚶‍♂️ Slower population growth – Less demand = prices staying put.

Cities like Auckland (+0.6%), Hamilton (+0.6%) and Wellington (+0.3%) barely moved, while Rotorua and Napier led the pack with 2.1% growth. Meanwhile, Hastings dropped by 3.4%, showing that some markets are still struggling.

What does this mean for STR investors?

1️⃣ Buyers have the upper hand – If you’re looking to invest, now’s the time to negotiate. More properties on the market = better deals.

2️⃣ Less competition from traditional investors – With affordability still tight, long-term landlords aren’t snapping up properties like they used to. This leaves room for STR investors to capitalize on tourism demand.

3️⃣ High-value STR markets are still strong – Despite overall flat growth, tourism-heavy areas like Rotorua and Napier are showing signs of life. STRs in the right locations can still pull in strong returns, even in a slow market.

The Bottom Line?

Flat prices = opportunity. If you’re a first-time investor or looking to grow your STR portfolio, this could be your moment to enter the market before prices start to climb again.

Thinking of making a move? Let’s chat about how to turn today’s market conditions into a win for you.

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